French mathematician and philosopher Pascal (famous for his delicious triangles) developed an idea called Pascal's Wager.
Pascal's Wager was designed to pitch belief in God against atheism. It's quite simple.
If God doesn't exist - it doesn't matter if you believe in one or not
If God exists - only those who believe in him will go to heaven.
Thus, If you don't believe in God, and he does in fact exist - you're fucked for eternity.
However what Pascal didn't take into account is the number of incompatible belief systems. Thus, today I propose Padbury's Wager, which states when you take into account the number of incompatible belief systems that assign passages to heaven, the chance that you will end up in hell is the most probable, followed by nothing happening, thus heaven is the most unlikely outcome after death.
So, let's look at the variables.
x = the number of incompatible belief systems
h = the chance (expressed as a percentage) that you will end up in hell
v = the chance (expressed as a percentage) that you will end up in heaven
a = the chance of nothing happening (as is followed in atheism)
the chance of getting into heaven can be expressed by the following equasion:
v = (x-1)/(x^2)
The chance of nothing happening can be expressed by:
a = 1/x
the chance of getting into hell can be represented by the following equasion:
h = 1 - ( (1/x) + ((x-1)/(x^2)) )
So let's say we have 4 different christian doctrines, 4 different islamic doctrines, atheism and judaism (total number of incompatible belief systems = 10).
The chance of getting into heaven:
v = (10-1)/(10^2)
v = 9/100
v = .09 or 9 %
The chance of getting into hell:
h = 1 - ((1/10) + .09))
h = 1 - (.1 + .09))
h = 1 - .19
h = .81 or 81%
The chance of nothing happening:
a = 1/10
a = .01 or 10%
But let's up the ante. I don't know how many incompatible dogma's there are, but I suspect it's in the realm of hundreds. Count tribal mythology, the variations keep adding up. So let's look at this again with 100 incompatible belief systems:
v = 99/10 000
v = 0.0099 or 0.99%
h = 1 - (0.01 + 0.0099)
h = .9801 or 98.01%
a = .01 or 1%
thus, statistically, it's still more likely that nothing will happen than you will get into heaven. Take that triangle man!
Rhyming slang is a very much part of the British vernacular. In Australia, we like to shorten words, and end them with a vowel sound. So for intance if your name was Roz, you would become Rozza. Shane Warne is known as Warnie, if you went to Scotch College you were a 'scotchie'. And sometimes we like to ad an 'azza' sound because it makes things easier to rhyme. Warwick becomes Wozza, Dan become Dazza, Paterson becomes Paddo, Aussie Football becomes Footy, Australian becomes Aussie (pron Ozzie as in Osbourne), and Soccer becomes Wog Ball.
So, we take rhyming slang and shorten it: Here's a quick rundown.
A Sticky = Sticky Beak = A little Peak
A Captain Cook = A look
A Seppo = A septic tank = A yank
A Pickle = Pickle and Pork up the frog and toad = A Walk Up the Road
The Claret = Blood
Trouble and Strife = Wife
Barney Rubble = Trouble
What a strange country I lived in...
Things in Australia are going really well. Getting out of the states has gotten me in touch with my muse, and has snapped me out of the funk that i've been in. Demon's are fought, and I finally realize that going to school with a bunch of pretentious fuckheads has only reinforced my resolve to do what I love.
It's facinating the cultural differences between Australia. Primarily Australia is much more ecologically aware. I arrived to some of the worst bushfires on record and the effects of global warming are very apparent. I saw a piece of graffiti that reminded me of Catharine Firpo which said "Free Energy is coming. Embrace Global Consciousness".
Christmas was a interesting. It was the coldest christmas on record, and we spent it listening to my grandmother saying such festive phrases as "I should be dead", "Oh some days I starve, other days I'm fine", and "It's a prison in here". Ah dear.
Anyway, I hope you are all well, I miss you terribly and I look forward to coming home to San Francisco!